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The next boom suburb

Interest Rates Not Lowered – Why this is great news?

At its meeting yesterday, the RBA board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 4.25%. RBA governor Glenn Stevens made the following comments.

"Recent information is consistent with the expectation that the world economy will grow at a below-trend pace this year, but does not suggest that a deep downturn is occurring. Several European countries will record very weak outcomes, but the US economy is continuing a moderate expansion. Growth in China has moderated as was intended, but on most indicators remains quite robust overall. Conditions around other parts of Asia softened in 2011, partly due to natural disasters, but are not showing signs of further deterioration. Some moderation in inflation has allowed policymakers in the region to ease monetary policies somewhat. Commodity prices declined for some months and are noticeably off their peaks, but over the past couple of months have risen somewhat and remain at quite high levels.

"The acute financial pressures on banks in Europe have been alleviated considerably by the actions of policymakers, though there is more to do to put European banks and sovereigns onto a sound footing for the longer term and Europe will remain a potential source of shocks for some time yet. Financial market sentiment has continued to improve in recent weeks and capital markets are again supplying funding to corporations and well-rated banks, albeit at costs that are higher, relative to benchmark rates, than in mid 2011.

"Most information on the Australian economy continues to suggest growth close to trend overall, with differences between sectors and considerable structural change. Labour market conditions softened during 2011 and the unemployment rate increased slightly in mid year, though it has been steady over recent months. CPI inflation has declined as expected and will fall further over the next quarter or two. In underlying terms, inflation is around 2½%. Over the coming one to two years, and abstracting from the effects of the carbon price, the Bank expects inflation to be in the 2% to 3% range. This forecast embodies an expectation that productivity growth will improve somewhat as a result of the structural change occurring in the economy.

Whilst, we as property investors are always looking for interest rate reductions to ease the cash flow of our assets, it is welcome news that finally the world economy report card is positive on nearly all fronts. For Australia, steady growth and low inflation are prime indicators that we are in good health. Logically, the only way is up for property now. But as the Governor suggests, some quarters will deliver shocks – the same goes for the property market, so it is crucial that you enlist expert research before taking advantage of this prime buying time in the investment property market.